What metrics do you closely watch after rolling out a pricing change (e.g., sign-up conversion, expansion revenue, churn), and how long does it take before you can confidently say the pricing change was a success or mistake?

Below is a concise answer based on the principles and case studies in our pricing strategy book, Price to Scale:

• When you roll out a pricing change, you want to monitor metrics that give you a clear sense of both immediate customer reactions and longer‐term effects. Key metrics include:
 – Sign-up conversion rates, which indicate how new customers respond to the new price signals
 – Expansion revenue, which reveals how existing customers engage with upsell or higher-tier offerings
 – Churn rates, to check if customers are leaving because the new pricing isn’t aligned with the value provided
 – And, depending on your model, operational metrics such as $/MAU or $/customer visits can also provide relevant insight.

• Our book emphasizes the importance of using criteria like predictability, acceptability, and trackability when choosing which metrics to watch. For example, if your metrics aren’t predictable (i.e., they vary too wildly month-to-month), it becomes hard to know if a pricing change is truly driving value.

• In terms of timing, while some early signals might emerge within a few weeks, the book’s case studies suggest that giving the change a runway of about three to six months can provide much clearer insights into whether the pricing change is successful or if adjustments are needed. In one real-world example, the entire packaging and pricing update process took roughly four to six months to show a near-full sales adoption and measurable changes in key financial metrics.

In summary, closely monitor conversion, expansion, and churn metrics using a framework that checks for predictability, acceptability, and trackability – and be prepared to wait about three to six months before confidently evaluating the impact of a pricing change. This approach not only gives your team enough time to see the true effects on customer behavior but also helps fine-tune your strategy in line with the practical insights shared in Price to Scale.

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