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Margins
Introduction:
The rise of AI-first software-as-a-service (SaaS) companies has upended many of the assumptions that defined the economics of earlier SaaS businesses. Traditional B2B SaaS companies have long enjoyed sky-high gross margins – often 80% to 90% – because once the software was built, serving each additional customer was very cheap. In classic SaaS, the cost of servicing an extra user (mainly cloud hosting and support) is minimal, so each new subscription’s revenue is largely pure profit. AI-first SaaS, however, is rewriting this story. These new products embed powerful AI/ML models at their core – for example, offering code generation, content creation, or predictive analytics – and that comes with significant ongoing costs for model development and especially for running (inferencing) the AI models on each use. The result is that AI-native SaaS companies often have dramatically lower gross margins than their predecessors, at least in their early years. In this post, we’ll explore how the economics and gross margins of AI-first B2B SaaS differ from traditional SaaS models, using real examples (OpenAI, GitHub Copilot, Jasper, Notion AI, Salesforce Einstein, etc.), and discuss what this means for unit economics, pricing strategy, and long-term business models.
Traditional SaaS Economics: Classic B2B SaaS businesses turned software into a subscription service with very high gross margins. Once the software was developed, the cost of delivering it to one more customer was trivial – basically some server time and customer support. Many top SaaS companies report gross margins in the 70–90% range. In other words, $0.70-$0.90 of every $1 of revenue is gross profit, making SaaS one of the most profitable business models. For example, Salesforce, a quintessential B2B SaaS company, has gross margins around 77%. The key reason is that SaaS has near-zero marginal costs per user – hosting and bandwidth costs scale sublinearly, and one support team can handle many customers. This means as a traditional SaaS scales, margins often improve or stay high because revenue far outpaces any incremental costs. High gross margin gave earlier SaaS companies plenty of room to invest in sales, marketing, and R&D while still eventually becoming very profitable.
AI-First SaaS Economics: AI-driven SaaS flips some of these assumptions. In an AI-first product, each user action (like generating text, running a query, or calling an AI feature) may trigger a computationally intensive AI model. That translates to a direct, variable cost for the company every time the product is used. Serving additional customers does not drop nearly to zero marginal cost – in fact, expenses scale roughly in proportion to usage. As one VC firm put it, “every new customer who actively uses your [AI] product increases your infrastructure costs proportionally,” a very different dynamic from traditional SaaS. This means AI-centric SaaS startups often have gross margins far below the SaaS norm. Recent benchmarks show many AI software companies averaging only about 50-60% gross margin, versus 80-90% for traditional SaaS. Hyper-growth “AI supernova” startups in particular have been seen with gross margins as low as ~25% early on (some even negative gross margin at times – essentially selling below cost to fuel growth), whereas more mature “AI shooting stars” stabilize closer to ~60%. Seeing negative gross margins in software is extremely rare historically, yet it has been observed among AI-first applications that rely heavily on costly model API calls.
To put this in perspective, OpenAI, a leading AI platform (not a traditional SaaS but selling AI via API and services), has been estimated to run around 50% gross margin on its operations. Anthropic (another AI model provider) is in a similar ballpark ~60% gross margin by some reports. Those figures are far below a pure software product, and importantly they exclude the huge up-front training costs, which are usually treated as R&D expense rather than cost of goods sold. At the application layer, the picture can be even more extreme. An analysis by Bessemer Venture Partners found that a cohort of fast-scaling AI SaaS startups had only ~25% gross margin on average in early stages, while even steadier-growth AI companies managed around 60% gross margin – both well under typical SaaS. In fact, several AI startups have gross margins so low it looks more like an infrastructure or hardware business than software. One popular meme in the industry described an AI coding assistant startup hitting “$100M ARR with a $120M [model provider] bill,” highlighting how usage costs can exceed revenue if pricing isn’t carefully aligned.
Real-World Examples: The challenges aren’t just theoretical. Consider GitHub Copilot, an AI pair-programmer sold to developers. Priced at about $10 per user per month, Copilot initially offered essentially unlimited AI code completions. But those completions call large GPT models under the hood, which aren’t cheap. Reports emerged that Copilot was costing Microsoft (GitHub’s parent) up to $80 per user per month in compute/model fees for heavy users, averaging a ~$20 loss per user in early 2023. In other words, for each $10 subscriber, Microsoft was eating perhaps $30 of cost on average, and much more for power users.
This obviously drags gross margins deeply negative – an untenable situation long-term. Microsoft has since started adjusting Copilot’s model (introducing a 2-tier “Pro” plan and limits) and even pricing for usage above certain caps. By mid-2025, GitHub announced that the formerly “unlimited” Copilot would include a generous allowance of AI requests, but beyond that, customers will pay usage fees (e.g. $0.04 per extra request). This shift from all-you-can-eat to usage-based pricing is a direct response to the economic reality: the old SaaS notion of a flat per-seat fee doesn’t work when some users might consume 100x more AI compute than others.
Similarly, AI writing assistant Jasper initially built on OpenAI’s models, has said their “gross margins are fine” for now using OpenAI’s API, but they see major cost savings potential by running their own models in the future to improve margins and control performance[1].
Replit, a developer platform that launched an AI coding bot, saw its revenue rocket from ~$2M ARR to $144M ARR in a year by 2025 – but only by moving to usage-based plans (for heavy cogs products, at Monetizely we recommend come for of usage based pricing) could it lift gross margin from single-digits into the ~20-30% range. (At one point in 2024, Replit’s gross margin was reportedly under 10%, even dipping negative during a usage surge, before pricing changes brought it back into the 20-30% range[2].) These examples underscore how AI features come with significant ongoing costs that simply didn’t exist for yesterday’s SaaS products.
Cursor IDE - A compelling new case study for AI coding economics: Cursor made significant pricing changes in mid-2025, moving from request-based limits to a compute credit pool system. Their Pro plan ($20/month) now includes $20 of frontier model usage at API pricing, with unlimited access to Tab completions and Auto mode. The pricing change was controversial enough that Cursor issued a public apology and offered refunds for unexpected charges, highlighting how difficult it is for AI-first companies to communicate complex cost structures to users.
Several factors drive the margin pressure in AI-first SaaS, all related to the added cost structure of developing and running AI models:
The net effect of these factors is that AI-first SaaS businesses operate with a cost of goods profile closer to an “infrastructure” business or cloud service than a pure software business. Instead of 10-20% of revenue going to COGS (as in a typical SaaS), an AI SaaS might see 40-50% (or more) of revenue eaten by COGS in the form of model hosting, inference compute, and data costs. This fundamentally shifts the unit economics and how such businesses must be managed.
Beyond gross margins alone, the infusion of AI into SaaS alters other components of unit economics and the P&L structure:
A critical question for executives and investors is whether AI-first SaaS businesses can eventually approach the healthy margins of traditional software, or if they’ll permanently run “hotter” (with lower margins). The answer is evolving, but several trends suggest gross margins can improve over time – albeit with effort:
All told, gross margins for AI-first businesses likely start lower and improve gradually. Many startups in 2023-2024 accepted low or even negative gross margins to acquire users and train their models (much like an “investment phase”). But investors and founders are laser-focused now on closing that gap. We’re already seeing a course-correction: by 2025, even fast-growing AI SaaS firms are targeting moving from, say, 30% to 60% gross margin by employing the tactics above. They may never routinely hit 85-90% like the leanest traditional SaaS did, but settling in the 60-70% range at scale is a reasonable goal for many – essentially, closer to a cloud services company than to an old software company, but with much higher growth potential. Executives should plan for a margin profile that’s a hybrid: not as low as pure infrastructure (e.g. public cloud gross margins in the 50%-ish range), but not as high as pure software.
The economic differences of AI-first SaaS have profound strategic implications for how these products are priced and sold in the B2B realm:
1. Embrace Usage-Based and Value-Based Pricing: The traditional SaaS playbook of per-seat (per-user) pricing is being upended in AI products. The reason is twofold: costs are usage-driven, and value delivered is often usage-driven too. Charging a fixed $X/user/month when usage (and cost) can vary wildly is a recipe for margin erosion and possibly customer frustration (if you have to impose hidden usage limits). Instead, many AI SaaS are moving to usage-based models or hybrid pricing. According to industry data, the share of companies using pure seat-based pricing is rapidly shrinking, while hybrid pricing (base fee + usage) jumped from 27% to 41% of companies within a year. We see real examples: Snowflake popularized consumption pricing in the data cloud space, and now AI startups follow suit with token-based billing, credit systems, or output-based pricing. For instance, an AI email generator might charge by emails composed or by the number of prospects contacted. The key is to tie pricing to the actual value or workload. A rule of thumb: if your AI product lets one user do the work of five, charging per-seat fails to capture that value. Instead, charge per amount of work done (documents created, tickets resolved, code generated, etc.). This not only aligns revenue with costs better, but customers find it fairer since they pay for what they use. Of course, pure pay-as-you-go can make revenue lumpy, so many offer blended models (e.g. a monthly platform fee that includes some usage, then pay-as-you-go for excess). The data strongly suggests that getting pricing right improves both margins and retention: one study found AI providers using modern usage-based pricing had 40% higher gross margins and significantly lower churn than those sticking to old models.
2. Introduce Tiered Plans and Bundles Thoughtfully: Given the variability in user consumption, it’s wise to create tiers or bundles that segment users by their usage needs. Many B2B AI SaaS now offer something like: Standard Plan (for typical usage, with a fair-use cap) vs Enterprise Plan (higher or unlimited usage but at a premium price or with overage charges). This helps prevent heavy users from diluting margins on lower plans. Bundling AI features as premium add-ons can also be effective. For example, Notion offers its AI features as an add-on subscription per user, rather than giving it to all users by default – meaning only those who value it (and presumably will use it a lot) pay for it, covering the cost. Salesforce Einstein is another classic case: Salesforce didn’t just roll all AI predictions into its base product for free. It offers Einstein capabilities as separate packages or included only in high-end editions (like the Unlimited tier) which are far more expensive[4][5]. This ensures that the substantial compute cost of, say, running AI to score leads or answer service queries is funded by the extra fees customers pay for Einstein. Bundling can also involve mixing AI features with non-AI ones to hide some of the cost – e.g., bundle an AI feature with premium support or other tools in a higher tier. The additional revenue from that tier isn’t solely paying for AI usage; it also covers intangible value like priority service, making the margin economics work out better. The overarching strategy is to monetize AI separately where possible: treat it as a value-add that customers opt into, so its costs (and some profit) are directly recouped, rather than a freebie that secretly eats into margins.
3. Monitor and Communicate Value to Justify Pricing: With AI features commanding higher prices or usage fees, B2B vendors must be prepared to demonstrate ROI to customers. This is classic in enterprise sales but takes a new flavor with AI. For instance, if you charge per AI conversation or per 1,000 tokens, business buyers will ask “what am I getting from those tokens?” Successful AI SaaS companies focus on business outcomes – e.g., “Our AI coding assistant saves your developers 30% of coding time” or “Our AI customer service bot resolves 50% of tickets without human intervention.” These outcomes justify the bills. Strategically, companies might offer dashboards or reports that quantify the AI’s impact (e.g., hours saved, leads generated) to defend their monetization. It’s also wise to provide cost transparency tools to customers when using consumption pricing. No IT manager wants a surprise six-figure bill because usage spiked. So, features like usage meters, alerts, and predictable spend caps become part of the product offering. By giving enterprise customers control or at least visibility (“here’s how many AI credits you used this month”), you build trust in the pricing model and reduce pushback. This transparency, combined with a clear value narrative, allows for price increases or upsells over time without as much resistance.
4. Invest in Cost Management and Efficiency as Strategic Priorities: In traditional SaaS, gross margin management was often an afterthought – when margins are 85%, it’s not the top worry. In AI SaaS, cost management is a strategic imperative from day one. Smart AI startups now build cost modeling into product design. Before launching, they simulate how much each user action will cost in terms of tokens, memory, etc., and price accordingly. Executives should prioritize engineering work on cost optimizations: e.g., implementing request batching, caching, model distillation, choosing the cheapest model that meets quality, and so on. This is akin to how cloud infrastructure companies operate – very cost-aware at the architecture level. Some are even exposing cost controls to users (for example, letting a customer choose a cheaper/slower model vs a pricey/accurate one for certain tasks). A culture of cost-consciousness helps ensure gross margins improve. As noted in one analysis, lack of cost visibility can torpedo margins, so top performers implement real-time cost dashboards, monitoring of per-user compute consumption, and alerts for anomalous usage. This data can inform not just engineering tweaks but also when to approach a customer about moving to a higher plan if their usage is skyrocketing. In short, treat your AI costs like COGS and manage them actively, just as a manufacturing business would manage input costs. This might be new to SaaS execs, but it’s crucial in AI.
5. Leverage AI to Reduce Other Costs: It’s worth noting that AI-first companies can themselves use AI to streamline operations. Many are using their own tech (or others’) to automate repetitive tasks in marketing, sales outreach, coding, and support. For example, an AI SaaS with a small support team might deploy an AI chatbot fine-tuned on its docs to handle 24/7 customer queries, reducing the need for a large support staff. Likewise, AI can generate marketing content or help qualify leads, making the Sales & Marketing spend more efficient. While these savings don’t directly raise gross margin (they improve operating margin), they offset the lower gross margin to some extent. The end goal for any business is healthy net margins. So, a company might accept a gross margin of 60% (vs 80% in old SaaS) if it can operate with leaner overhead – say, 15% of revenue on S&M instead of 40% – due to product-led growth and AI-driven efficiency in go-to-market. This was observed in some of the super-fast-growing AI startups which had 4-5x higher revenue per employee than typical SaaS. They spent far less on sales, since the product’s AI wow factor drove viral adoption, and that partially compensates for the high cost of revenue. Strategically, AI-first CEOs might pitch investors on a different model: lower gross margin but also lower customer acquisition cost (CAC) and lower support costs, yielding solid profits at scale. The mix of expenses across the P&L will differ from legacy SaaS, but the business can still be attractive if managed holistically.
6. Plan for Continuous Monetization Evolution: Finally, software execs should recognize that we’re in an unusually dynamic period for pricing norms. AI capabilities and costs are changing rapidly, so pricing and packaging will likely require continuous iteration. Many AI B2B companies have already changed their pricing model 2-3 times in their first year or two. Flexibility is key: be ready to introduce new tiers, adjust limits, or even explore alternative revenue streams (like advertising or marketplaces in some cases) to bolster margins. For instance, OpenAI has tested things like plugin commissions and sponsored content in ChatGPT to augment its revenue beyond just API fees. An AI SaaS serving enterprises might consider add-on professional services (at high margin) or data network access fees, etc. The strategic point is not to be stuck in a legacy SaaS mindset. AI businesses may end up looking more like a blend of SaaS, usage-based cloud service, and consulting at times. The ones who thrive will experiment to find what monetization mix yields both customer value and sustainable profits.
Per a great substack article by Jenny Xiao and Jay Zhao: https://leonisnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-state-of-ai-in-2025
We’re living through a period where AI is effectively subsidized. Even as inference becomes 50–100× cheaper every few years, prices remain below true economic cost, propped up by Big Tech, leading labs, and their backers. That won’t last forever.
AI’s unit economics diverge sharply from traditional SaaS. Classic SaaS achieves stellar margins because the incremental cost to serve another customer trends toward zero. AI, by contrast, carries ongoing variable costs, every inference, token, and task incurs spend. As providers move away from subsidy-driven pricing toward cost-reflective rates, this gap will become starker. Founders already report API bills compressing margins despite today’s discounts. If those inputs normalize to real costs, many apps may need to charge $200, or even $2,000 per month instead of $20 just to be sustainable.
Why the standard SaaS model strains under AI: shifting cost structures will force new pricing mechanics. Xiao and Zhao outline three phases of this evolution. In 2024’s “Premium AI” phase, advanced capabilities command premium paywalls (e.g., $20 ChatGPT-style tiers). Over the next two years, the “Enterprise Scale” phase should take hold, with pricing anchored to concrete actions and outcomes—better aligning fees with delivered value and underlying costs. By 2027–2029, the “AI Economy” phase emerges: autonomous agents operate as economic units, not merely tools. Systems will negotiate, trade, and generate value with minimal human oversight. In that world, the boundary between technology and economic activity dissolves. AI won’t just power the economy; in many contexts, it will be the economy.
For B2B software executives, the rise of AI-first SaaS demands a shift in thinking. Gross margins in this new generation of software are not automatically in the 80-90% comfort zone of yesteryear. Instead, leaders must proactively design their business models to manage much higher variable costs and prove that those costs are justified by equally high value to customers. The economics of AI SaaS often start out looking worse than traditional software – sometimes shockingly so, with gross margins in the 20-40% range early on. But with smart strategy, these can improve over time through infrastructure efficiency gains, better pricing alignment, and building more non-AI value around the core product. Gross margins will likely remain a bit lower than classic SaaS even at maturity (perhaps settling around 60-70% for healthy AI-first businesses), meaning such companies need to either run leaner in other areas or command premium pricing to make the bottom line work.
The strategic implications are clear: AI features should usually be monetized (not given away freely with cheap plans) because they carry a real cost. Pricing models must evolve toward usage-based or outcome-based schemes that capture the value created and cover the resources consumed. Bundling AI into premium packages and clearly articulating ROI will be key to persuading customers to pay more. Additionally, AI-first SaaS firms need to borrow disciplines from cloud and hardware businesses, tracking cost of goods and optimizing every percentage point through technology and scale.
In summary, the AI revolution is changing SaaS from a pure “set it and forget it” subscription model into something more complex – a blend of software, service, and ongoing compute-intensive capability. B2B SaaS executives should adjust their playbooks: success will come from those who can harness AI to deliver game-changing outcomes for customers and do so with unit economics that work in the long run. The companies that strike this balance will not only have happier customers, but also more defensible margins and profitable growth in the age of AI-powered SaaS.
Sources: The analysis above draws on industry research and examples, including venture reports and news: AI gross margin benchmarks, commentary on rising inference costs, and real-world cases like Microsoft’s GitHub Copilot economics and Salesforce’s AI pricing strategy[4]. These illustrate the broader trends reshaping SaaS economics in the AI era.
[1] How Jasper found product-market fit: pivoting to AI-native SaaS
https://www.unusual.vc/post/how-jasper-found-product-market-fit-pivoting-to-ai-native-saas
[2] People complaining about VCs subsidizing AI startups ... - Threads
[3] The State of AI Gross Margins in 2025 - by Tanay Jaipuria
https://www.tanayj.com/p/the-gross-margin-debate-in-ai
[4] How Much Does Salesforce Einstein Agent Cost? A Complete ...
[5] Salesforce Sales Cloud Einstein AI: Features, Benefits & Pricing
https://cloudconsultings.com/salesforce-sales-cloud-einstein/
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